number11
"Good morning everybody........"
The trouble is with Capey going, we don't even have one part-time spinner to complement Swann. That means Yardy (or Tredwell) will be picked.
Personally I think both Ravi and Colly are better ODI bowlers than Yardy, yet Yardy is being picked as a specialist bowler.
Collingwood actually has more ODI wickets than Yardy has List A wickets and Bopara has more List A wickets, a substantially better ODI and List A average, a substantially better ODI and List A strike-rate, more ODI and List A 4 wicket hauls than Yardy. The only criteria that Yardy comes out better in, is economy-rate and at ODIs the difference is 0.23, which is 2 runs a game, a figure that Bopara, even with his patchy fielding of late, will save in the field over the lumbering Yardy.
Interesting stats. This really does seem to be a world cup where balance / 5th bowler is a key factor in the abscence of their being one outstanding team. Unfortunately England are light on both batsman who can bowl or a decent 5th bowler who can bat so will struggle unless their key performers produce something outstanding on the day of the knockouts. For that reason, Unless they come up against one of the Asian countries on a bunsen, I think Australia are currently the team most likely to win as in Watson they have the best batsman who can bowl, and Smith is also effective with both disciplines in this format.