So, if Flintoff is out, would people prefer him to be replaced by a batsman, bowler or bits and pieces allrounder (a la Bresnan)
Bowler.
Our batsmen played poorly in Cardiff, and frankly will need to show a lot more discipline and application at Lords. However, it's a ground with happy memories for all our batsmen - since the last Ashes series, they've posted the following on the Lord's honours board:
Strauss - 1 ton
Cook - 2 tons
Bopara - 1 ton
Pietersen - 4 tons
Collingwood - 2 tons
Prior - 1 ton
Strauss is the interesting one - as former Middlesex captain, and with two tons at Lord's in 2004, you'd expect him to relish playing on his "home" turf.
However, the key is that those 6 batsmen ought to be capable of building up a substantial score - especially when you take into account that none of Swann, Anderson or Broad are complete bunnies with the willow in their hand.
What is utterly indisputable, however, is that we took 6 wickets in Cardiff - and that our bowling attack could therefore be described as "powder puff". You could have a side of 11 Kevin Pietersens, frankly - but if you only take 6 wickets, you'll never win a Test match.
Personally, I'd pick Harmison. Yes, he is a total bloody enigma. He gets homesick, he can be moody, temperamental, and when he's not on his game, wayward and carted for 40+ a wicket.
However, right now, he's playing well. And a Harmison in form is a more potent weapon than any other Englishman we have at the moment - other than Freddy and his shot knees, perhaps.
More than that - it should make for an explosive Test match. Australia will go after him, you can be sure of that, in a hope to exploit that fragile temperament of his. However, having seen the Varsity match at Lord's 10 days ago, it looks to be a quick surface, and one with plenty of bounce in it - in other words, perfect for Harmy. If the Ockers go after him, you can be sure that there will be plenty of chances - and that means, potentially, wickets.
My personal jury is still out on Onions. I've seen him 3 times at Lord's - but, oddly, the last of those three was a Test match (admittedly against the devil-may-care Windies led by the ridiculous Gayle), and he bowled venomously in that game. If I understand the weather forecast for this week to be correct, there will be plenty of cloud around... and it's those sorts of seam / swing conditions in which Onions thrives.
I don't see either of Onions or Harmison to be particularly fantastic long-term prospects. Onions is, ultimately, a solid county-standard seamer who requires classic "English" cloudy conditions (often found at Chester-le-Street) in order to take wickets. Harmison is a maverick, mentally fragile, and in no way a long term England bowling prospect because of his travel-sickness.
But, balls to that, we've got an Ashes series to compete in, and we desperately need wickets.
My XI:
Cook
Strauss (c)
Bopara
Pietersen
Collingwood
Prior
Swann
Broad
Anderson
Harmison
Onions