• Welcome to the ShrimperZone forums.
    You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which only gives you limited access.

    Existing Users:.
    Please log-in using your existing username and password. If you have any problems, please see below.

    New Users:
    Join our free community now and gain access to post topics, communicate privately with other members, respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and free. Click here to join.

    Fans from other clubs
    We welcome and appreciate supporters from other clubs who wish to engage in sensible discussion. Please feel free to join as above but understand that this is a moderated site and those who cannot play nicely will be quickly removed.

    Assistance Required
    For help with the registration process or accessing your account, please send a note using the Contact us link in the footer, please include your account name. We can then provide you with a new password and verification to get you on the site.

General betting

Forums New posts
Uncle Leo said:
We go 4/7 on the Tories gaining a majority.

Last time I checked, if the favourite in the betting were to win every seat, then the Conservatives would have a majority of 12.

By the way, for tonight's debate, we go:

Clegg 5/4
Cameron 11/8
Brown 10/3
Click to expand...

How are they deciding who wins?

IMO Cameron has nothing to gain and can only lose. Not only is he the front-runner in the election, he'll also be expected to trounce Brown as he usually does so at PMQTs so if he wins he'll only be meeting expectations. It's not so much about beating your rivals, as beating the expectations. Brown here has a huge advantage.

Clegg has the most to gain. Could a dominant performance from Clegg and the usual lacklustre Brown showing be enough to push the Lib Dems over Labour into 2nd place? The Lib Dems won't be there in terms of seats, but it's not that much of a swing in the polls in terms of votes. The Lib Dems managed to do so in the local elections last time out. If they manage to get the big mo from the debates it could change the face of British politics. I'm not saying that it will happen, but it's the most intriguing outcome.
 
Uncle Leo said:
I honestly don't know. I do know that 'volcanic ash' is now 4/1 to be mentioned at some stage (same price as cider and binge drinking)!
Click to expand...
I think there's an online poll immediately after the debate, similar to the Chancellor's debate the other week...
 
Ladbrokes now make a hung parliament 4/6. Lib Dems now 20/1 to win an overall majority, the lowest they have ever been
 
Uncle Leo said:
Ladbrokes now make a hung parliament 4/6. Lib Dems now 20/1 to win an overall majority, the lowest they have ever been
Click to expand...

I'm now feeling quite smug about the bet I put on a Hung Parliament 10 days ago at 15/8.

I have to say, I thought the Lib Dems would do well out of these debates and thought as a result, they might up their share of the vote to about 25% at a push but their success in recent polls has been astounding.

That said, two and a half weeks is a long time in election campaigning and I think Brown and Cameron are realising they can't afford to ignore 'the third party' any more which will inevitably mean the Lib Dem policies will come under closer scrutiny.
 
Manchester Shrimper said:
I'm now feeling quite smug about the bet I put on a Hung Parliament 10 days ago at 15/8.

I have to say, I thought the Lib Dems would do well out of these debates and thought as a result, they might up their share of the vote to about 25% at a push but their success in recent polls has been astounding.

That said, two and a half weeks is a long time in election campaigning and I think Brown and Cameron are realising they can't afford to ignore 'the third party' any more which will inevitably mean the Lib Dem policies will come under closer scrutiny.
Click to expand...

True but the intresting thing will be are their polices really that wacky or paper thin , or even if they have any of the political Skeletons in the cupboard to expose !
 
osymandus said:
True but the intresting thing will be are their polices really that wacky or paper thin , or even if they have any of the political Skeletons in the cupboard to expose !
Click to expand...

Oh, I'm not implying they are. I think their economic policies are pretty spot on (except for the ones regarding the banks which IMO are more populist than sensible) and at least they've had tried to do a bit of costing in their manifesto which no-one else has bothered to do.

I'm just saying that while he won the first debate by looking like the mature one on the sidelines while the other two bickered, Cameron and Brown will have cottoned on to that I don't think he's going to be given such an easy ride in future and it'll be interesting to see how he copes with that.

Roll on Thursday!!
 
Ok, forgive me for posting stuff from a Ladbrokes press release, but thought there might be a few talking points here:

General Election Specials

Next PM
Cameron 1/3
Clegg 10/1
David Miliband 16/1

Next Chancellor
2/5 Osborne
7/2 Cable
12/1 Ken Clarke
16/1 Ed Balls

Any Lib Dem to be in the first new cabinet: 2/1
Two or more elections in 2010: 3/1

Lib Dem v Labour vote share match (one for you possibly YB?)
5/6 LD
5/6 Lab

Debate Winner
Clegg 4/6 (from 4/5)
Cameron 5/4 (from 6/5)
Brown 8/1
 
Uncle Leo said:
Debate Winner
Clegg 4/6 (from 4/5)
Cameron 5/4 (from 6/5)
Brown 8/1
Click to expand...
This week's debate is on Foreign Affairs I think. If so, some of Clegg's policies may well be shown up.....
 
Manchester Shrimper said:
Oh, I'm not implying they are. I think their economic policies are pretty spot on (except for the ones regarding the banks which IMO are more populist than sensible) and at least they've had tried to do a bit of costing in their manifesto which no-one else has bothered to do.

I'm just saying that while he won the first debate by looking like the mature one on the sidelines while the other two bickered, Cameron and Brown will have cottoned on to that I don't think he's going to be given such an easy ride in future and it'll be interesting to see how he copes with that.

Roll on Thursday!!
Click to expand...

Yes , roll on Thursday , though the IMF appear to agree with the Lib Dem's he he :D
 
Manchester Shrimper said:
Uncle Leo. Have you got any odds on Alan Johnson being the next PM?
Click to expand...

Not next PM, but he is 6/1 to be next Labour leader. I like that price.

Your 15/8 on a hung parliament is looking better than ever. Latest Ladbrokes odds:

Conservative Overall Majority 7/4
Labour Overall Majority 16/1
Liberal Democrat Overall Majority 20/1
No Overall Majority/Hung Parliament 8/15
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

.



Club News
Fixtures and Results
League Table
SUFC Ticket Stats
Shrimpers Trust
SoccerBase
SUEPA (Ex Players)
Shrimperzone on Facebook
Shrimperzone on Twitter
Shrimperzone on Instagram


ShrimperZone Sponsors

FFM MSPFX Foreign Exchange Services
Estuary MFF2
Zone Advertisers Zone Advertisers

ShrimperZone - SUFC Player Sponsorship

Southend United Away Travel


All At Sea Fanzine


Back
Top