League one games tonight.

[Up the Shrimpers]

Highest number of points and getting relegated out of League 1 was us on 54 points in 1988/9. There is no way 63 points would ever get you relegated.

 

[AndyT]

Someone more mathematically able than me or with the sort of probability chart that 'llama' produced, would be able to work out the maximum points possible to be relegated, given all the permutations of the 552 matches in a season.

 

[Firestorm]

Someone more mathematically able than me or with the sort of probability chart that 'llama' produced, would be able to work out the maximum points possible to be relegated, given all the permutations of the 552 matches in a season.

In theory (if everyone won their home games and lost their aways) you could get relegated on goals scored with the same number of points as the champions

 

[MK Shrimper]

Someone more mathematically able than me or with the sort of probability chart that 'llama' produced, would be able to work out the maximum points possible to be relegated, given all the permutations of the 552 matches in a season.

 

[AndyT]

Perfect.

From that, I make it 55 points! :thumbsup:

 

[THE SEVENTIES NORTH BANK]

So what you lot are going on about is forget the play-offs, we need to beat Oldham to avoid relegation. Football's not as positive as the good ol days.

 

[AndyT]

In theory (if everyone won their home games and lost their aways) you could get relegated on goals scored with the same number of points as the champions

Yep, I kind of thought that could be the answer, meaning everyone would get 69 points.

That stacks up OK on my Abacus, here.

So, every team needs to aim for 70 points at the start of the season! :thumbsup:

 

[AndyT]

So what you lot are going on about is forget the play-offs, we need to beat Oldham to avoid relegation. Football's not as positive as the good ol days.

It's the 3 points for a win, issue, again.

You didn't need half the points back in the day.

 

[RobM]

This is obviously hypothetical; every team could P46, W23, D0, L23, PTS 69. Therefore 70 points will ensure non-relegation!


Edit - Andy beat me to it!

 

[AndyT]

I'm sure there was an Algerian League or something, where the champions finished 6 points above the bottom club.

Going into the final 3 matches or so, the bottom club could still win the league!

 

[mattitouk]

Thats right, The Algerian 2014/15 season table (with 4 games to go)

 

[AndyT]

YAY, that's the one! :cool:

 

[RobM]

"One CR Bouilzdad! There's only..."!

 

[AndyT]

Wonder who won it?

 

[mattitouk]

Es Setif by a point apparently. and the bottom club there NA Hussein Dey finished in a respectable 9th place.

Theres some great names there though. MC ORAN, sounds like a muslim rapper, & ASO Chlef, sounds like a splinter group from Isis.

 

[AndyT]

LOL, yep some great names.

That's a dull old league though, for goals.

Top scorers only managing just over a goal a game!

MC Oran's matches look particularly tedious! :zzzzz:

 

[Billy Bests boot laces]

Yes the Scunthorpe V Millwall game is a bit of a cliffhanger for us (as I for one, cant figure out who's wheels have really fallen off the wagon). But still currently see Oxford as more of a threat to our 6th place.

Week after Easter, think Oxford are at Millwall, which can only benefit us as one ( or both of them ) will drop points.

 

[Shrimpergonzo]

I find this is the time of the year when we all become even more statto and nostradamus-like. One site I particularly like to contemplate is the excellent http://www.soccerstats.com/latest.asp?league=england3

It does a good Points Per Game (PPG) analysis, which looks at the PPG average of your future opponents - i.e. a good way of comparing who has the easiest run in.

1 Sheffield Utd 1.13
2 Bolton 1.36
3 Fleetwood 1.14
4 Scunthorpe 1.18
5 Bradford 1.53
6 Southend Utd 1.27
7 Millwall 1.52
8 Oxford Utd 1.39
9 Rochdale 1.07
10 Bristol Rovers 1.19
11 Peterborough 1.37
12 Wimbledon 1.33


This basically shows that Rochdale have the easiest run-in, followed by Sheff Utd, Fleetwood and Scunthorpe. Bradford and Millwall have the most difficult and ours is about average.

A pretty meaningless but interesting stat to add to all the others that are floating around!

 

[Shrimpergonzo]

....and to add to the above, if you hover over the table it gives you the home average PPG of teams you're playing away and the away average PPG of the teams you're playing at home. Here's how that looks for us!

 

[mattitouk]

Week after Easter, think Oxford are at Millwall, which can only benefit us as one ( or both of them ) will drop points.

Indeed, and if Fleetwood can do a number on Oxford next Wednesday night & also against Millwall on Easter Monday it should give us more of a breathing space from the chasing pack.