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Brexit negotiations thread

So the big idea is a non starter and always has been as it is not possible to be a member of the customs union without the other unacceptable conditions.
It is an idea straight from Lord Percy or Baldrick of Blackadder fame; pure fairytale farce.

No,that's the idea of Brexit itself,which is clear exercise in masochistic,self-harm. What is going to happen to May's deal next Tuesday, is a forerunner of what's going to happen to the fairytale idea of Brexit too.
 
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A line written by YB earlier stated "It would leave both remain and leave voters DEEPLY disatisfied" that tends to make one wonder, no matter what the final outcome of this debacle - assuming there will ever be one, of course - how will the Union and Parliament itself not just survive but exist in the future with any credibility.

With the Union - of which I, as an Englishman, am so immensely proud - the surge in what's amounting to out and out hatred from all quarters is very disturbing. I cannot think of another time in our history (bar the English Civl War) where there has been such deep division. To suggest that we are in the midst of what I can only describe as a most (un)Civil War is not an understatement. Not just the Far Left and Right extremists standing toe to toe screaming in each other's faces but those faceless 'keyboard warriors' who're quite happy to extol the virtues of 'their side' being right, you're wrong and that's an end to it. Oh, and for good measure, I'm going to call you all the unpleasant names under the Sun I can think of whilst doing so. Madness and not a little pathetic.

Regardless of whichever way someone voted in the Referendum, the final outcome has, or rather is, showing our Parliament up for being not fit for purpose. I've never been a fan of politics but these last couple of years in particular have shown this group of elected representatives to be a near-total embarrassment. From it's misguided government leader, to those in privileged positions (in all parties) of responsibility doing their damndest to feather their own nest's and now, to the point where the Speaker of the House - arguably THE most important person in the building - abusing his supposedly unbiased position. One wonders how the electorate will reward these politicians when the time comes to make their choices come the next election. That's assuming the electorate will bother in such numbers, of course. I feel that there's potential for a seismic shift in the offing.

For me personally - whilst it matters not one jot which way I cast my vote a couple of years ago, it breaks my heart to see where we are now, how we've got here and for what may still be to come. I certainly don't have any answers - that's what the politicians are supposed to sort out, isn't it ? Well, that being the case - God help us all, whichever way it goes, as the fallout could last for decades.

Sorry if I've waffled on a bit here, I'll just get my coat....:Unsure:

I think you probably speak for a silent and sizeable number of voters who have difficulty understanding why a simple instruction can't be carried out by your elected politicians. I can understand your frustration with Westminster. Whilst I would agree that we seem to be lacking the quality and stature of representatives from yesteryear, I wouldn't put all the blame at their door.
A referendum is fine for deciding whether a council should build a by-pass or fund a local library. As, to our cost, we are finding out, it is probably not too clever for deciding on a subject of major national importance, especially one on which the country was already deeply divided. Not only that but on a question that was anything from simple, indeed one that was extremely complex and had immense ramifications. Aren't those decisions ones we elect our representatives to make?
When you have the person who got us into this situation, allegedly saying that "someone else can clear up this s**t".................and then resigning. It doesn't give you much faith in the quality of our leaders. How do we get out of this mess? I haven't got any better idea than you! There doesn't appear to be a majority for anything in parliament and that is probably reflective of the country at large. A General Election will be bitter, divisive and could well end up inconclusive. A new referendum will be bitter and divisive but could it offer a way out? I feel that any second referendum would have to be offered as a choice between specific options, rather than just a re-run of 2016. Would the work? I don't honestly know! :Smile:
 
I think you probably speak for a silent and sizeable number of voters who have difficulty understanding why a simple instruction can't be carried out by your elected politicians. I can understand your frustration with Westminster. Whilst I would agree that we seem to be lacking the quality and stature of representatives from yesteryear, I wouldn't put all the blame at their door.
A referendum is fine for deciding whether a council should build a by-pass or fund a local library. As, to our cost, we are finding out, it is probably not too clever for deciding on a subject of major national importance, especially one on which the country was already deeply divided. Not only that but on a question that was anything from simple, indeed one that was extremely complex and had immense ramifications. Aren't those decisions ones we elect our representatives to make?
When you have the person who got us into this situation, allegedly saying that "someone else can clear up this s**t".................and then resigning. It doesn't give you much faith in the quality of our leaders. How do we get out of this mess? I haven't got any better idea than you! There doesn't appear to be a majority for anything in parliament and that is probably reflective of the country at large. A General Election will be bitter, divisive and could well end up inconclusive. A new referendum will be bitter and divisive but could it offer a way out? I feel that any second referendum would have to be offered as a choice between specific options, rather than just a re-run of 2016. Would the work? I don't honestly know! :Smile:

The reason why the "simple instruction can't be carried out" is because it's undeliverable without a nationational action of self-harm,which is what Brexit on WTO terms would be.

The initial question was simple.To answer it ,however, is extremely complex.

The best way of of this mess is clearly a general election.
 
Disagree. We means everyone. Every single person who voted leave had their own reasons. My sister in law expected the NHS to suddenly get a windfall, my mate said "what's the worst that can happen?".

Again MK, read what I post. I said you already knew exactly what I meant when I said 'we' and to be honest I'd suggest if you didn't understand, as YBUTC did, then.............well, let's not get into personal insults now, not just yet anyway :Happy:
 
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I think you probably speak for a silent and sizeable number of voters who have difficulty understanding why a simple instruction can't be carried out by your elected politicians. I can understand your frustration with Westminster. Whilst I would agree that we seem to be lacking the quality and stature of representatives from yesteryear, I wouldn't put all the blame at their door.
A referendum is fine for deciding whether a council should build a by-pass or fund a local library. As, to our cost, we are finding out, it is probably not too clever for deciding on a subject of major national importance, especially one on which the country was already deeply divided. Not only that but on a question that was anything from simple, indeed one that was extremely complex and had immense ramifications. Aren't those decisions ones we elect our representatives to make?
When you have the person who got us into this situation, allegedly saying that "someone else can clear up this s**t".................and then resigning. It doesn't give you much faith in the quality of our leaders. How do we get out of this mess? I haven't got any better idea than you! There doesn't appear to be a majority for anything in parliament and that is probably reflective of the country at large. A General Election will be bitter, divisive and could well end up inconclusive. A new referendum will be bitter and divisive but could it offer a way out? I feel that any second referendum would have to be offered as a choice between specific options, rather than just a re-run of 2016. Would the work? I don't honestly know! :Smile:

And those specific options and their consequences would be open to wholesale misinterpretation, lies, spin and mistruths by any number of 'experts' just as the ramifications of a simple Yes/No vote was. And can you say with hand on heart, in that situation, the great British public is capable of discerning what's true, what isn't, what's best and what isn't and end up making the right choice a second time?
 
The reason why the "simple instruction can't be carried out" is because it's undeliverable without a nationational action of self-harm,which is what Brexit on WTO terms would be.

The initial question was simple.To answer it ,however, is extremely complex.

The best way of of this mess is clearly a general election.

Ohhhhhh no it wouldn't..............
 
The reason why the "simple instruction can't be carried out" is because it's undeliverable without a nationational action of self-harm,which is what Brexit on WTO terms would be.

The initial question was simple.To answer it ,however, is extremely complex.

The best way out of this mess is clearly a general election.

If I understand your position correctly, Labour would enter that election with a position of leaving the EU but negotiating a better deal? Have you seen what a poll suggests if Labour adopted that stance?

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/dec/20/polls-stay-eu-yougov-brexit-peoples-vote

Now I know you take polls with a pinch of salt but those figures are amazing and frightening for Labour. A prediction that Labour with 22% would fall into third place behind the Lib Dems on 26% may make you laugh, yet there seems so much volatility in the electorate at the moment, you can't really guarantee or even second-guess what the outcome would be.
 
And those specific options and their consequences would be open to wholesale misinterpretation, lies, spin and mistruths by any number of 'experts' just as the ramifications of a simple Yes/No vote was. And can you say with hand on heart, in that situation, the great British public is capable of discerning what's true, what isn't, what's best and what isn't and end up making the right choice a second time?

So you accept that the referendum was deeply flawed?......................which, IMHO, it was. You have criticised people on here for being condescending, yet surely that is what you are being when doubt the electorate could be able to make another definitive choice. I know you back a hard Brexit but that only has the support of a minority in parliament and I would suspect it would be the same in the country. Of course, there is a way to find out. Anyway, how would you see us best extricating ourselves from this mess and uniting the country?
 
Remind me that last time your sockpuppet mate DCBlue posted anything in the football threads at all? He's such an ardent supporter of the team after all since 1966 I believe?

Another compliment?
It was 1964 by the way.
Anyway what gives you the right to question whether I post on the football forum or not. I don't particularly want to post on there and that should be my choice. It is no concern of yours so please refrain from being head boy and casting doubts on my support of our team.
 
So the big idea is a non starter and always has been as it is not possible to be a member of the customs union without the other unacceptable conditions.
It is an idea straight from Lord Percy or Baldrick of Blackadder fame; pure fairytale farce.
When cutting a deal some of those conditions may not be deemed unacceptable if it facilitates a much better deal than currently on offer.

The Blackadder fairytale slur attached to what you think might be involved in a Labour deal can easily be used on what we actually know is involved in the Tory deal.

The government ferry-tale - today they are saying the SeaborneFreight contract was awarded without normal procurement rules because of “extreme urgency” brought about by “unforeseeable events”. But a Minister confirms NoDeal Brexit was foreseen ages ago and can’t say what the unforeseen events were.

Sounds like Lord Percy is already gainfully employed in this saga.
 
If I understand your position correctly, Labour would enter that election with a position of leaving the EU but negotiating a better deal? Have you seen what a poll suggests if Labour adopted that stance?

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/dec/20/polls-stay-eu-yougov-brexit-peoples-vote

Now I know you take polls with a pinch of salt but those figures are amazing and frightening for Labour. A prediction that Labour with 22% would fall into third place behind the Lib Dems on 26% may make you laugh, yet there seems so much volatility in the electorate at the moment, you can't really guarantee or even second-guess what the outcome would be.
I pledge £100 to Shrimperzone if Labour get 26% in a 2019 GE and the LibDems get 22% (or if Labour go below 30% and LibDems are no less than 5% behind them.

Labour members are overall Remain and so are their voters but it's not a helpful distribution throughout the country:

78% of the 45 seats Labour must gain from the Conservatives to win the next general election voted Leave

72% of Labour's 25 most vulnerable constituencies (majorites under 2,000) voted Leave

61% of all Labour constituencies voted Leave
 
I pledge £100 to Shrimperzone if Labour get 26% in a 2019 GE and the LibDems get 22% (or if Labour go below 30% and LibDems are no less than 5% behind them.

Labour members are overall Remain and so are their voters but it's not a helpful distribution throughout the country:

78% of the 45 seats Labour must gain from the Conservatives to win the next general election voted Leave

72% of Labour's 25 most vulnerable constituencies (majorites under 2,000) voted Leave

61% of all Labour constituencies voted Leave

You look at all the benefits to be gained from adopting a leave position but conveniently ignore the losses which will consequently result. I really don't know how a 2019 election would pan out and it would be a brave man, in the present climate, to predict any outcome. If I had to guess, I don't think there will be a General Election this year......................but hey! who knows.
 
You look at all the benefits to be gained from adopting a leave position but conveniently ignore the losses which will consequently result. I really don't know how a 2019 election would pan out and it would be a brave man, in the present climate, to predict any outcome. If I had to guess, I don't think there will be a General Election this year......................but hey! who knows.
I voted Remain and I'd happily do so again.

If discussing how Labour policy would effect their vote a poll by a company own by Tories and set up for the People's Vote campaign is not likely to be impartial. Often with these things they ask the questions in a different way to the way they deliver the results. I don't trust their interviewees to be representative. The sample size is usually 1,000. They have in recent history got nearly all predictions wrong.

The actual split of referendum result by constituency is something political parties would be foolish to ignore.

If Labour pledged to renegotiate and to put that deal to the public I can see that keeping Remain voters and Leave voters in tact. Especially if LibDems is seen as a wasted vote and if Tories stick with Brexit having proven that they don't have the ability to deliver it.

Policy can wait till a GE is announced though, much can change in the meantime.
 
If I understand your position correctly, Labour would enter that election with a position of leaving the EU but negotiating a better deal? Have you seen what a poll suggests if Labour adopted that stance?

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/dec/20/polls-stay-eu-yougov-brexit-peoples-vote

Now I know you take polls with a pinch of salt but those figures are amazing and frightening for Labour. A prediction that Labour with 22% would fall into third place behind the Lib Dems on 26% may make you laugh, yet there seems so much volatility in the electorate at the moment, you can't really guarantee or even second-guess what the outcome would be.

The poll results you link to are clearly nonsensical.

We'll see what position Labour adopts when/if an early general election happens.You're right though that I believe labour could negotiate a better deal than the Tories on Brexit, based on membership a of a/the Customs Union.

If there were to be another referendum (which I doubt) ,It's far from axiomatic that remain would win (my preferred outcome).
 
So you accept that the referendum was deeply flawed?......................which, IMHO, it was. You have criticised people on here for being condescending, yet surely that is what you are being when doubt the electorate could be able to make another definitive choice. I know you back a hard Brexit but that only has the support of a minority in parliament and I would suspect it would be the same in the country. Of course, there is a way to find out. Anyway, how would you see us best extricating ourselves from this mess and uniting the country?

No I don't. As a simple Yes/No choice there was little to get wrong, the referendum option itself wasn't flawed at all. What has been flawed ever since is this Governments inability or unwillingness to stand up to the EU, to grow a pair and do what, in my naivety, I thought they would do and put this country first and foremost in any subsequent negotiations. Having a Remainer in charge of those negotiations hasn't helped and I suppose if I'm being honest this shambles has been on the cards since she won the GE.

And I don't think I'm being condescending when I say perhaps the general populace is easily duped by those in a position of power and not capable of seeing through the spin, lies and bullcrap. They are at every single GE after all. We believe the promises put in manifestos prior to a GE and then just accept things without a whimper when those promises turn out to be just hollow gestures to win the popular vote.

And just for the record I have never favoured a hard Brexit, not ever, but I now recognise that with the choices being what they are, TM botched half arsed deal and leave in name only or JC and his leave but stay in the customs union complete non starter I feel now there is no other way but for that hard Brexit.

A second vote or referendum, whatever you want to call it, would just end up being 6 months of more politicians lies, spin, media propaganda and misinformation and hypothetically speaking lets just say we did have another referendum in six months time after all the options and 'supposed' outcomes of each have been rammed down the throat of the population and the vote comes back 52% to stay and 48% to leave. Why then shouldn't those leavers now have another vote? After all, that 52% only voted stay because of a hatful of lies and spin put out by a remain camp that managed to spin it to the public only slightly better than the leave camp.
 
The poll results you link to are clearly nonsensical.

We'll see what position Labour adopts when/if an early general election happens.You're right though that I believe labour could negotiate a better deal than the Tories on Brexit, based on membership a of a/the Customs Union.

If there were to be another referendum (which I doubt) ,It's far from axiomatic that remain would win (my preferred outcome).

What part of 'you can't remain in the customs union and leave the EU as well' don't you understand, it's impossible? The EU have said from day one, and it's pretty much universally accepted, you can't have both.
 
Another compliment?
It was 1964 by the way.
Anyway what gives you the right to question whether I post on the football forum or not. I don't particularly want to post on there and that should be my choice. It is no concern of yours so please refrain from being head boy and casting doubts on my support of our team.
why would a southend fan choose to sign up to a southend utd forum and then not post about the team/club?

just wondering, because it's been happening a bit
 
why would a southend fan choose to sign up to a southend utd forum and then not post about the team/club?

just wondering, because it's been happening a bit

Where's the problem. I haven't posted in the football section of this site or about the club for months and months, years in fact, but I support the none the less.
 

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