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Question Southend's price with Sporting Index

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effy67

Youth Team
Southend's points for the season have been priced up at 61-63, which means you can bet that we get more than 63 pts or bet we get less than 61 (the difference between the high and the low points price being the bookies built-in profit margin).

So my question is would you go high or low?

Looking at all the other team in the division we have been priced as though we will finish 11th, 1 place below Col Ewe.

Hope I'm wrong, but I can see more mileage in going less than 61. Sorry I should explain you bet per point so if you bet we will get more than 61 points and we get 70 then you win 9x your stake e.g. at £10 a point you will get £90 but if we got only 50 points then you would lose 13x your stake or £130.
 
effy67 said:
southend's points for the season have been priced up at 61-63, which means you can bet that we get more than 63 pts or bet we get less than 61 (the difference between the high and the low points price being the bookies built-in profit margin).

So my question is would you go high or low?

Looking at all the other team in the division we have been priced as though we will finish 11th, 1 place below col ewe.

Hope i'm wrong, but i can see more mileage in going less than 61. Sorry i should explain you bet per point so if you bet we will get more than 61 points and we get 70 then you win 9x your stake e.g. At £10 a point you will get £90 but if we got only 50 points then you would lose 13x your stake or £130.
Click to expand...
definatly low how do yiu bet??? So if i put £50 on low and we got 20 points i would win £250???
 
effy67 said:
Southend's points for the season have been priced up at 61-63, which means you can bet that we get more than 63 pts or bet we get less than 61 (the difference between the high and the low points price being the bookies built-in profit margin).

So my question is would you go high or low?

Looking at all the other team in the division we have been priced as though we will finish 11th, 1 place below Col Ewe.

Hope I'm wrong, but I can see more mileage in going less than 61. Sorry I should explain you bet per point so if you bet we will get more than 61 points and we get 70 then you win 9x your stake e.g. at £10 a point you will get £90 but if we got only 50 points then you would lose 13x your stake or £130.
Click to expand...

Set at 66 1/2 to sell last year, they make us 5 1/2 inferior to then, bout right i think. Think the 10/1 option for relegation looks better unless Tilly brings in the same calibre of loanees that he did last year which is unlikely!
 
wiggy said:
Set at 66 1/2 to sell last year, they make us 5 1/2 inferior to then, bout right i think. Think the 10/1 option for relegation looks better unless Tilly brings in the same calibre of loanees that he did last year which is unlikely!
Click to expand...

I dont know why but I have found myself agreeing with you a lot recently. As much as I think Southend won't go down, 10-1 is pretty good considering the threadbare nature of our squad.
 
Andyhsufc said:
I dont know why but I have found myself agreeing with you a lot recently. As much as I think Southend won't go down, 10-1 is pretty good considering the threadbare nature of our squad.
Click to expand...


Maybe the bookies just look at it on the basis that we have a track record of reasonably successful campaigns in this league ,a tried and tested (and stable) management team and have started poorly in previous seasons but been successful in strengthening the squad at the right time and coming with a good run when it matters.

Or is that an over-simplification ?
 
wiggy said:
Set at 66 1/2 to sell last year, they make us 5 1/2 inferior to then, bout right i think. Think the 10/1 option for relegation looks better unless Tilly brings in the same calibre of loanees that he did last year which is unlikely!
Click to expand...

10/1 is massive value on us getting relegated, we'll have no team stability again this season, and already we look in turmoil with no cash being made available for transfers etc.

I'm really surprised we're 10/1, thought we'd be shorter than that.
 
CC51DAS said:
Maybe the bookies just look at it on the basis that we have a track record of reasonably successful campaigns in this league ,a tried and tested (and stable) management team and have started poorly in previous seasons but been successful in strengthening the squad at the right time and coming with a good run when it matters.

Or is that an over-simplification ?
Click to expand...

I'm sure that plays a huge part in it.
 
TonyTheKray said:
10/1 is massive value on us getting relegated, we'll have no team stability again this season, and already we look in turmoil with no cash being made available for transfers etc.

I'm really surprised we're 10/1, thought we'd be shorter than that.
Click to expand...

Will you be having a punt then? Serious question.
 
CC51DAS said:
Maybe the bookies just look at it on the basis that we have a track record of reasonably successful campaigns in this league ,a tried and tested (and stable) management team and have started poorly in previous seasons but been successful in strengthening the squad at the right time and coming with a good run when it matters.

Or is that an over-simplification ?
Click to expand...

That was 442's explanation for picking us to finish second. God, I hope they're right.
 
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