Under Brown our longest run without a win was 13 games without a win in 2013/14, featuring 8 draws and 5 losses.
Our last 13 games show 2 wins, 2 draws, 9 defeats, so the same points tally of 8 points from 13 games. We are currently on a streak of 6 games without picking up a point, and 8 without a win. This is currently our worst spell of form since Brown arrived at the club.
Based on the second half of last season, the last 23 results duplicated to simulate the whole season, we would have finished on 40 points, one point above Crewe and two less than Colchester to have put us in 23rd. If we had maintained the form of the first 23 games of the season, we would have finished in 8th on goal difference behind Barnsley in the last play-off position and Scunthorpe.
On the bright side though, after that run in 2013/14, we then won 6 and lost 2 of the 8 remaining league games of the season.
Looking at what is to come in the league: Port Vale (A), Sheffield United (A), Bristol Rovers (H), Fleetwood (H), Bolton (A), Scunthorpe (A), Millwall (H), Northampton (A), Oxford (H), Peterborough (H).
I'd say we should get something at Port Vale, but then our home form will be vital as the next three away games will be very tough to come away with anything and even Northampton won't be easy. Of the home fixtures, Millwall would be the only one where I would expect us to lose (forgetting current form).
Our last 13 games show 2 wins, 2 draws, 9 defeats, so the same points tally of 8 points from 13 games. We are currently on a streak of 6 games without picking up a point, and 8 without a win. This is currently our worst spell of form since Brown arrived at the club.
Based on the second half of last season, the last 23 results duplicated to simulate the whole season, we would have finished on 40 points, one point above Crewe and two less than Colchester to have put us in 23rd. If we had maintained the form of the first 23 games of the season, we would have finished in 8th on goal difference behind Barnsley in the last play-off position and Scunthorpe.
On the bright side though, after that run in 2013/14, we then won 6 and lost 2 of the 8 remaining league games of the season.
Looking at what is to come in the league: Port Vale (A), Sheffield United (A), Bristol Rovers (H), Fleetwood (H), Bolton (A), Scunthorpe (A), Millwall (H), Northampton (A), Oxford (H), Peterborough (H).
I'd say we should get something at Port Vale, but then our home form will be vital as the next three away games will be very tough to come away with anything and even Northampton won't be easy. Of the home fixtures, Millwall would be the only one where I would expect us to lose (forgetting current form).