C C Csiders
Life President
Right here goes:
I have looked at the number of points gained for each position in the Championship (and its second tier of English football forerunners) since the inception of a 24 team division 18 seasons ago.
From this I have calculated the mean average points score for each position at the end of the season, as well as the points range.
It shows (for the positions that matter):
1st - average 93.72 (range 82-106)
2nd - average 85.83 (range 79-92)
3rd - average 81.78 (range 74-90)
4th - average 77.72 (range 73-88)
5th - average 75.50 (range 71-83)
6th - average 73.61 (range 70-76)
22nd - average 47.72 (range 42-52)
23rd - average 43.56 (range 35-49)
24th - average 37.72 (range 26-45)
From this we can see that our first target next season will be 48 points to beat the average points of those relegated. Second target will be 53 points as no team has finished in the bottom three with that points total. More ambitiously, we could next target 74 points to beat the mean average for finishing sixth.
Of those promoted from the third-tier of English football in the 18 relevant seasons, three have one automatic promotion to the Premier$hite the next season (one champion form League one, one Runner -up and one play-off winner). Interestingly, as many have made the play-offs the next season after promotion, as have been relegated the following season (6). So in total 9 teams promoted have finished in the top 6 the next season, as against 6 relegated - promising! Of those relegated two were champions the previous season, 2 were runners-up and two play-off winners.
The average finishing position in the Championship of those teams that won League One (and equivalent) the previous season is 11th (11.28 to be exact).
I have looked at the number of points gained for each position in the Championship (and its second tier of English football forerunners) since the inception of a 24 team division 18 seasons ago.
From this I have calculated the mean average points score for each position at the end of the season, as well as the points range.
It shows (for the positions that matter):
1st - average 93.72 (range 82-106)
2nd - average 85.83 (range 79-92)
3rd - average 81.78 (range 74-90)
4th - average 77.72 (range 73-88)
5th - average 75.50 (range 71-83)
6th - average 73.61 (range 70-76)
22nd - average 47.72 (range 42-52)
23rd - average 43.56 (range 35-49)
24th - average 37.72 (range 26-45)
From this we can see that our first target next season will be 48 points to beat the average points of those relegated. Second target will be 53 points as no team has finished in the bottom three with that points total. More ambitiously, we could next target 74 points to beat the mean average for finishing sixth.
Of those promoted from the third-tier of English football in the 18 relevant seasons, three have one automatic promotion to the Premier$hite the next season (one champion form League one, one Runner -up and one play-off winner). Interestingly, as many have made the play-offs the next season after promotion, as have been relegated the following season (6). So in total 9 teams promoted have finished in the top 6 the next season, as against 6 relegated - promising! Of those relegated two were champions the previous season, 2 were runners-up and two play-off winners.
The average finishing position in the Championship of those teams that won League One (and equivalent) the previous season is 11th (11.28 to be exact).
